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Posted On: 15/07/2012
Property prices in the US are finally going up, after more than five years of declines. In recent months sales price indexes have shown modest national increases, even after figures have been seasonally adjusted.
If foreclosures and distress sales are taken out of the picture then prices have increased far more substantially, and experts feel further price gains are likely. The asking price index published by Trulia Inc shows an increase of 3.3% during the second quarter of this year, when adjusted seasonally, and the asking price index rose in 84 out of the 100 largest metropolitan areas in America.
The increase in house prices has seen a corresponding decline in inventory levels, and during the past year inventory levels of listed homes have decreased by 20%. This is due to fewer new developments and fewer foreclosures.
Lower inventory levels are contributing towards price increases, and some local markets have even seen the return of bidding wars. The fact that prices are beginning to rise could accelerate this decrease in inventory levels at least in the short term, as more buyers will be prompted to act quickly in the hope of purchasing a property at the bottom of the market. In contrast more sellers are likely to hold off listing their homes in anticipation of more price rises.
According to a recent survey 61% of people expect property prices to rise in their local market during the next 12 months. The longer term should see inventory levels grow as higher prices will encourage more owners to sell. This will include those who have previously been in negative equity, as well as banks who still hold considerable portfolios of foreclosure properties. Another side effect of rising prices should be an acceleration in construction, helping the general economy to recover more quickly.
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