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Posted On: 16/01/2012
HSBC's Global Asset Management Outlook report for this year is optimistic about Egypt's economy and believes it will show positive growth after last year's uprisings.
It believes Egypt has a favourable demographic profile and will benefit from its strategic geographic location and diversified economy. The country is also set to gain through delivery of several regional and international aid pledges which includes IMF funding. These pledges should help reduce the government's fiscal deficit.
Several austerities measures were introduced last year and it's expected that the budget deficit will be 8.6% of GDP in the financial year ending in June 2012 which is less than previous predictions of 11%. This month Egypt is due to increase electricity and national gas prices to heavy industries by 33% to help reduce the deficit.
It is also due to begin renegotiating a $3 billion IMF facility which would help support the currency. However a weaker currency does aid tourism and industry. With political elections ongoing, Egypt is expected to become one of the emerging markets with higher levels of consumption.
Consumer sentiment is expected to become more positive this year as the political situation continues to improve, and this should encourage private sector investment, with HSBC expecting an improvement in both foreign investment and domestic consumption this year.
The Parliamentary elections are dominated by Egypt's Freedom and Justice Party and there have been fears over its stance on tourism. But during a recent meeting with the Egyptian Union for Tourism the head of FJP, Mohamed Morsey stressed the importance of tourism to Egypt's economy, especially as the country enjoys good weather and has a rich history and culture.
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