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Posted On: 29/09/2009
We all (us that are involved in the real estate industry) obsess over the statistics, over economic indicators and house price trends, trying to work out whether they are pointing to a recovery. At the moment the consensus of opinion -- among us that are involved in the real estate industry -- is that the world's major property markets have passed the trough and are currently making their way back up. But out opinion is treated with a pinch of salt, because we are involved in the real estate industry.
But... We can prove it. There is a group of people and entities that are involved in the real estate industry, but that can say markets are bottoming without it being treated with dubiousness; (what, it's a word) Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and institutional investors. This is because they do the talking with their wallet, thus instantly putting their money where their mouth is.
During the downturn, it was a commonly held belief that there was literally billions of dollars, Pounds and Euros sitting in REITs waiting to be invested in markets as they hit bottom. If you look at the industry press and even the economic and financial papers from around the world you will find many stories about this money starting to be spent in the US, UK, Australia and Europe.
Arab News, Saudi Arabia's largest English language daily tells of investors and funds looking back at real estate for high returns in the imminent recovery. The article tells how Gatehouse Bank PLC, the latest Islamic investment bank to be authorized by the Financial Services Authority (FSA), has launched a GBP350 million Shariah-compliant London Office High Income Recovery Fund.
The article explains that: "The investment strategy of the fund is to purchase real estate in the London office sector as well as greater London and the London Orbital Sector locations let on long leases to high quality tenants. The fund will distribute excess rental income on a quarterly basis and seek an exit strategy after four to six years."
The Street.com has featured two articles on the major rebound of real estate funds, one on the major rebound of REITs in the last 3 months, it reads:
"Not only have real estate investment trusts been among the best performers, but their dividends are at least twice that of the benchmark index. Three of the 20 top-performing industry groups in the past three months are REIT-related. Industrial REITs have surged 54%, diversified REITs have jumped 46% and office REITs are up 39%."
And another on the 33% returns from real estate mutual funds in the last 3 months, it reads:
"Real estate mutual funds, ground zero for the financial meltdown and housing bust, returned 33% in the past three months, ranking as the top-performing category, according to Morningstar."
All this positive data has led to the head of Hargreaves Lansdown one of the biggest bears (market pessimist) is turning Bullish (optimistic) about commercial property markets for the first time in 6 years The Telegraph reveals.
These funds are doing the talking with their wallets and putting their money where their mouth is, and their mouth's are saying that real estate in the markets that took the biggest battering is looking like a bargain that will generate substantial returns during the global recovery in the next 4-6 years.
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